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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Manchester City — Leeds

Match Manchester City vs Leeds November 29, 2025

Manchester City
Manchester City
Home · last 5 D W W D L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 15:00
3:2
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D W D W L Away · last 5
Etihad Stadium · Manchester Referee Peter Bankes, England
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 63% · book 1.66
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.56
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 46% · book 2.10
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
2.72 – 1.53
Δ +1.19
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Manchester City arrives with clear home momentum after recent wins, leveraging a strong attacking edge against Leeds' less robust defense. The Etihad's familiar turf adds to their advantage, while Leeds struggles to find consistency on the road. Expect City's compact block and high pressing to challenge Leeds' setup, likely leading to a controlled, high-tempo game with several scoring chances.

  • Home side's offensive firepower vs away defensive frailties
  • Recent form favors City’s confidence and rhythm
  • Likely open play with over 2.5 goals possible

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

MCI 4-3-2-1 · LEE 4-3-3
Subs used · MCI
75' Cherki ↑ · Reijnders
89' Marmoush ↑ · Silva
90+6' Stones ↑ · Doku
Subs used · LEE
46' Bijol ↑ · Gnonto
46' Calvert-Lewin ↑ · James
69' Gudmundsson ↑ · Justin
82' Okafor ↑ · Nmecha
90+2' Aaronson ↑ · Tanaka

📊 Statistics

MCI 32 LEE
62%
Possession (%)
38%
2.72
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.53
18
Total Shots
9
9
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
3
14
Shots Inside Box
8
8
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
4
17
Fouls
11
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
4
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

18 · 3 – 2
P. Foden
Assist · M. Nunes · 1–0
1'
J. Gvardiol
Assist · N. O'Reilly · 2–0
25'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
J. Bijol ↓ · W. Gnonto ↑
Substitution 1
46'
D. Calvert-Lewin ↓ · D. James ↑
Substitution 2
49'
D. Calvert-Lewin
2–1
Matheus Nunes
Yellow Card
55'
Bernardo Silva
Yellow Card
57'
58'
Joe Rodon
Yellow Card
Joško Gvardiol
Yellow Card
66'
68'
L. Nmecha
2–2
69'
G. Gudmundsson ↓ · J. Justin ↑
Substitution 3
R. Cherki ↓ · T. Reijnders ↑
Substitution 1
75'
82'
N. Okafor ↓ · L. Nmecha ↑
Substitution 4
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Yellow Card
87'
O. Marmoush ↓ · B. Silva ↑
Substitution 2
89'
P. Foden
Assist · R. Cherki · 3–2
90'
90+2'
B. Aaronson ↓ · A. Tanaka ↑
Substitution 5
J. Stones ↓ · J. Doku ↑
Substitution 3
90+6'
Full-time · 3 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.66 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.56 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.10 46% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS No 1.78 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.43 37% Cashed +1.43 Cashed
Draw 6.77 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.07 94% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Home Win 1.28 78% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.55 59% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.05 78% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.50 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 19.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.18 81% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Double Chance X2 4.25 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 12.90 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.85 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.31u −31% ROI