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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Newcastle — Manchester City

Match Newcastle vs Manchester City November 22, 2025

Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 22 Nov · 17:30
2:1
Full-time
Manchester City
Manchester City
D W W D L Away · last 5
St. James' Park · Newcastle Referee Samuel Barrott, England
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 57% · book 2.06
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 43% · book 2.41
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.23
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.24 – 1.88
Δ +0.36
Possession
32% – 68%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Manchester City arrive at St. James' Park with a clear quality edge and a pressing attack that challenges Newcastle's defense, which has struggled recently. Despite Newcastle's better recent form points per game, City's superior offensive firepower and tactical discipline suggest they can control the pace and create key chances. The home side's defensive vulnerabilities and City's ability to exploit space on the break could tilt the balance.

  • City's attacking threat vs Newcastle's leaky defense
  • Newcastle's home momentum tested by City's tactical depth
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring controlled buildup from City

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NEW 4-5-1 · MCI 4-3-2-1
Subs used · NEW
77' Botman ↑ · Hall
85' Elanga ↑ · Barnes
85' Willock ↑ · Woltemade
Subs used · MCI
76' Savinho ↑ · Doku
77' Reijnders ↑ · Silva
77' Bobb ↑ · Cherki
87' Marmoush ↑ · Foden

📊 Statistics

NEW 21 MCI
32%
Possession (%)
68%
2.24
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.88
9
Total Shots
17
5
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
9
7
Shots Inside Box
14
5
Corner Kicks
9
3
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
8
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
91%
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

14 · 2 – 1
-5'
Bernardo Silva
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
H. Barnes
Assist · Bruno Guimaraes · 1–0
63'
68'
R. Dias
1–1
70'
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Yellow Card
H. Barnes
2–1
70'
76'
Savinho ↓ · J. Doku ↑
Substitution 1
S. Botman ↓ · L. Hall ↑
Substitution 1
77'
77'
T. Reijnders ↓ · B. Silva ↑
Substitution 2
77'
O. Bobb ↓ · R. Cherki ↑
Substitution 3
A. Elanga ↓ · H. Barnes ↑
Substitution 2
85'
J. Willock ↓ · N. Woltemade ↑
Substitution 3
85'
87'
O. Marmoush ↓ · P. Foden ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
Oscar Bobb
Yellow Card
Joelinton
Yellow Card
90+4'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.06 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.41 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.23 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.76 55% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.63 57% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.80 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.88 43% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.77 20% Cashed +1.77 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.34 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.47 67% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.49 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.60 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.24 78% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Under 0.5 16.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.95 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.75 20% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.45u −9% ROI