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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Brighton — Brentford

Match Brighton vs Brentford November 22, 2025

Brighton
Brighton
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Sat 22 Nov · 15:00
2:1
Full-time
Brentford
Brentford
L W L D D Away · last 5
Amex Stadium · Brighton Referee John Brooks, England
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 58% · book 1.98
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.77
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 36% · book 2.80
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.23 – 1.86
Δ −0.63
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Brighton holds a clear quality edge and home momentum at the Amex Stadium, backed by a strong recent run and a solid attacking matchup against Brentford's defense. Their pressing and compact block should limit Brentford's chances, who struggle away and show inconsistent form. Expect a controlled pace with Brighton dictating play and likely to capitalize on set-piece opportunities.

  • Brighton's home edge and form advantage
  • Superior attacking pressure vs Brentford's defense
  • Moderate tempo favoring Brighton's style

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BRI 4-2-3-1 · BRE 4-2-3-1
Subs used · BRI
46' Dunk ↑ · Boscagli
46' De Cuyper ↑ · Baleba
70' Hinshelwood ↑ · Gomez
89' Gruda ↑ · Minteh
89' Veltman ↑ · Rutter
Subs used · BRE
65' Lewis-Potter ↑ · Ouattara
80' Hickey ↑ · Ajer
80' Jensen ↑ · Yarmolyuk
80' Janelt ↑ · Damsgaard

📊 Statistics

BRI 21 BRE
64%
Possession (%)
36%
1.23
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.86
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
8
Shots off Target
5
8
Shots Inside Box
6
7
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
9
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
4
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

18 · 2 – 1
Olivier Boscagli
Yellow Card
15'
29'
I. Thiago (P)
Penalty · 0–1
36'
Dango Ouattara
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
L. Dunk ↓ · O. Boscagli ↑
Substitution 1
46'
M. De Cuyper ↓ · C. Baleba ↑
Substitution 2
46'
Diego Gómez
Yellow Card
64'
65'
K. Lewis-Potter ↓ · D. Ouattara ↑
Substitution 1
J. Hinshelwood ↓ · D. Gomez ↑
Substitution 3
70'
D. Welbeck
Assist · Y. Minteh · 1–1
71'
80'
A. Hickey ↓ · K. Ajer ↑
Substitution 2
80'
M. Jensen ↓ · Y. Yarmolyuk ↑
Substitution 3
80'
V. Janelt ↓ · M. Damsgaard ↑
Substitution 4
J. Hinshelwood
2–1
84'
B. Gruda ↓ · Y. Minteh ↑
Substitution 4
89'
J. Veltman ↓ · G. Rutter ↑
Substitution 5
89'
Brajan Gruda
Yellow Card
90+1'
Bart Verbruggen
Yellow Card
90+4'
90+5'
Vitaly Janelt
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.98 58% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.77 57% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.80 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.38 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.64 59% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.22 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.93 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.28 82% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 64% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.43 58% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.24 80% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.60 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.75 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.99 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.11 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.11u −30% ROI