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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Aston Villa — Bournemouth

Match Aston Villa vs Bournemouth November 9, 2025

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 14:00
4:0
Full-time
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
D W W D D Away · last 5
Villa Park · Birmingham Referee John Brooks, England
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 63% · book 1.74
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 2.06
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.22
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
1.33 – 2.00
Δ −0.67
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Aston Villa hosts Bournemouth at Villa Park in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge. Bournemouth's stronger attack faces a Villa defense that has struggled recently, suggesting a tactical battle with Bournemouth likely to press higher. Villa's recent home form shows signs of momentum, but Bournemouth's resilience and ability to control tempo could limit clear chances.

  • Bournemouth's offensive edge against Villa's shaky defense
  • Villa's home momentum with recent wins
  • Potential for a compact, cautious game with moderate goal expectancy

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

AST 4-4-2 · BOU 4-2-3-1
Subs used · AST
71' Barkley ↑ · Buendia
71' Tielemans ↑ · McGinn
71' Sancho ↑ · Onana
81' Bogarde ↑ · Watkins
81' Malen ↑ · Kamara
86' Guessand ↑ · Rogers
Subs used · BOU
10' Jimenez ↑ · Smith
46' Cook
63' Christie ↑ · Scott
63' Adli ↑ · Truffert
63' J. Kroupi ↑ · Kluivert
77' Brooks ↑ · Evanilson

📊 Statistics

AST 40 BOU
52%
Possession (%)
48%
1.33
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.00
16
Total Shots
13
8
Shots on Target
4
2
Shots off Target
5
10
Shots Inside Box
7
6
Corner Kicks
9
0
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
20
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
2
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

20 · 4 – 0
10'
A. Jimenez ↓ · A. Smith ↑
Substitution 1
Morgan Rogers
Yellow Card
13'
Boubacar Kamara
Yellow Card
23'
27'
Álex Jiménez
Yellow Card
E. Buendia
1–0
28'
38'
Adrien Truffert
Yellow Card
A. Onana
2–0
40'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
L. Cook ↓ ·
Substitution 2
63'
R. Christie ↓ · A. Scott ↑
Substitution 3
63'
A. Adli ↓ · A. Truffert ↑
Substitution 4
63'
E. J. Kroupi ↓ · J. Kluivert ↑
Substitution 5
R. Barkley ↓ · E. Buendia ↑
Substitution 1
71'
Y. Tielemans ↓ · J. McGinn ↑
Substitution 2
71'
J. Sancho ↓ · A. Onana ↑
Substitution 3
71'
77'
D. Brooks ↓ · Evanilson ↑
Substitution 6
R. Barkley
Assist · L. Digne · 3–0
77'
L. Bogarde ↓ · O. Watkins ↑
Substitution 4
81'
D. Malen ↓ · B. Kamara ↑
Substitution 5
81'
D. Malen
Assist · Y. Tielemans · 4–0
82'
E. Guessand ↓ · M. Rogers ↑
Substitution 6
86'
Full-time · 4 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.74 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.06 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.22 50% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.46 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.89 46% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.70 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.24 37% Cashed +1.24 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.60 37% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.40 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.20 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.37 62% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.20 25% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 91% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.64 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.28 71% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.14u −13% ROI