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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Nottingham Forest — Leeds

Match Nottingham Forest vs Leeds November 9, 2025

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Home · last 5 W W D L D
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 14:00
3:1
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D W D W L Away · last 5
The City Ground · Nottingham, Nottinghamshire Referee Jarred Gillett, Australia
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 64% · book 1.71
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.86
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 2.00
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
2.47 – 0.69
Δ +1.78
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Nottingham Forest hosts Leeds in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge and better recent form. Leeds' defensive solidity could stifle Forest's attack, which has struggled to convert chances lately. However, Forest's home resilience and slightly higher expected goals hint at a competitive encounter.

  • Leeds' defensive discipline vs Forest's offensive efforts
  • Home crowd support balancing quality gap
  • Moderate pace suggested by goal market odds

Expect a tight game with limited goals, where Leeds may control possession but Forest could threaten on set-pieces and counters.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NOT 4-2-3-1 · LEE 4-1-4-1
Subs used · NOT
59' Awoniyi ↑ · Jesus
59' Hutchinson ↑ · Dominguez
59' Yates ↑ · Sangare
88' Morato ↑ · Gibbs-White
Subs used · LEE
74' James ↑ · Aaronson
74' Piroe ↑ · Longstaff
74' Calvert-Lewin ↑ · Nmecha
82' Struijk ↑ · Bijol
82' Harrison ↑ · Gudmundsson

📊 Statistics

NOT 31 LEE
46%
Possession (%)
54%
2.47
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.69
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
2
Shots off Target
5
10
Shots Inside Box
5
6
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
11
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
2
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

16 · 3 – 1
13'
L. Nmecha
Assist · B. Aaronson · 0–1
I. Sangare
1–1
15'
Ibrahim Sangaré
Yellow Card
33'
Murillo
Yellow Card
41'
Half-time · 1 – 1
T. Awoniyi ↓ · Igor Jesus ↑
Substitution 1
59'
O. Hutchinson ↓ · N. Dominguez ↑
Substitution 2
59'
R. Yates ↓ · I. Sangare ↑
Substitution 3
59'
M. Gibbs-White
Assist · O. Hutchinson · 2–1
68'
71'
Sean Longstaff
Yellow Card
74'
D. James ↓ · B. Aaronson ↑
Substitution 1
74'
J. Piroe ↓ · S. Longstaff ↑
Substitution 2
74'
D. Calvert-Lewin ↓ · L. Nmecha ↑
Substitution 3
82'
P. Struijk ↓ · J. Bijol ↑
Substitution 4
82'
J. Harrison ↓ · G. Gudmundsson ↑
Substitution 5
Morato ↓ · M. Gibbs-White ↑
Substitution 4
88'
E. Anderson (P)
Penalty · 3–1
90'
Full-time · 3 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.71 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.86 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.00 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.41 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.10 42% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.87 47% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Home Win 2.30 36% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.62 36% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Away Win 3.45 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.50 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.36 62% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.50 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.31 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 90% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Draw 3.48 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.35 68% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.66 22% Cashed +2.66 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.66u −10% ROI